Richard Carrier puts forward a fantastic approach to verifying history in his latest book : Proving History: Bayes’s Theorem and the Quest for the Historical Jesus “… historian Richard C. Carrier proposes Bayes’s theorem as a solution to the problem of establishing reliable historical criteria. He demonstrates that valid historical methods—not only in the study of Christian origins but in any historical study—can be described by, and reduced to, the logic of Bayes’s theorem.